Conditional Revenue / Risk Model
This model builds a revenue or cost projection based on potential future cash flows (opportunities or risks). In the model, we build a number of potential cash flows (or costs). For each item, there is a distribution of potential outcomes; and a probability that the event will or will not occur.
Calculating the model, we generate a distribution of potential future revenue (or risk).
In addition to the main projections, we can create additional projections for alternative scenarios. In a risk model, for example, this might reflect the potential risk reduction if we take specific mitigation steps.
In a revenue model, alternative scenarios might reflect changes to opportunities in response to external market factors; or they might reflect different opportunities based on specific marketing and sales efforts.
Guide to this Application
There's a walk-through guide to help you understand the application and how it works available here:
Two last notes: use control-Z to undo changes; and if you accidentally reload the page, your data will be saved.
Load or save files to your desktop, or clear the model to restart.
|Load Model||Save Model||Reset Model|
Random Number Generator
Set a seed value for the random number generator and re-run the simulation model. This can be useful if you want to get reproducible results.
A seed value of zero (0) will use the current system time.